The World Trade Organization (WTO) is an international organization that promotes world trade policies and helps resolve differences between member states or parties. The World Trade Organization is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.
Looking at world trade in the current world, we can see two main things. The first is Covid 19 and the second is the Russia-Ukraine war. As a result, world trade has changed dramatically, resulting in economic crises in many parts of the world. For example, Sri Lanka collapsed economically. The prices of essential commodities in Bangladesh have Increased. Fuel Oil The prices of edible oils and essential commodities continue to rise
Everything is changing in the wake of the Russian war in Ukraine, and global trade will never be the same again. This was revealed by the WTO forecast, which looks at the risk of fragmentation. Russia's war against Ukraine will slow the re-emergence of the world economy from the epidemic, reduce trade in goods and potentially lead to the wider division of world trade: this is the essence of a new WTO analysis. Trade disruptions this year have led to a halt in production as the Russian invasion has stimulated markets for important commodities such as oil, steel, aluminum, fertilizer, and wheat.
Countries with weak economies can accumulate enough foreign exchange to cope with such a situation, then they will be able to cope in any situation, otherwise, mishaps could happen at any moment. Therefore, all the developing countries of the world including Bangladesh should manage their economic system with caution.
Not only that, but with Putin's marginalization of Western economic relations, a trend toward the polarization of strategic trade alliances will become increasingly apparent. With poorer countries at risk and without commodities, as is already happening in North Africa and some Asian countries on the verge of bankruptcy.
How is world trade changing and what does the WTO predict?
World Trade: What's Changing and What to Expect
From epidemics to wars, world trade is not the same again, and probably never will be.
The Geneva-based firm cut its trade growth forecast for this year to 3%, lower than the previous estimate of 4.7%.
The WTO also said that it would increase trade by 3.4% in 2023, citing a number of negative risks, including food insecurity and a possible resurgence of the virus. "History teaches us that dividing the world economy into rival blocs and turning away from the poorest countries does not lead to prosperity or peace," said WTO Director-General special person-Iwata.
"The WTO can play an important role in providing a forum where countries can discuss their differences without resorting to force and deserve support in that mission," he added, almost with a desperate cry.
The company expects world GDP to expand 2.8% this year, down 1.3 percentage points from 4.1% previously forecast. GDP growth is expected to be 3.2% in 2023, close to the average of 3% in the previous decade of the epidemic.
On the trade front, over the past two years, cross-border trade has become a surprisingly favorable wind for the world economy, fueled in large part by record imports of goods from Asia to the United States.
However, if recent estimates are met, the trade growth trajectory will fall in the 1% -3% range, which is not quite satisfactory.
Suppressed by the sudden dynamics of war and sanctions, world trade could collapse, claim new victims, be deprived of important partners for raw materials, and much more. Unable to pull from great Russia in the competition of wheat, gas, metals, oil, and agricultural resources, the balance is changing drastically.
For example, low supplies and high prices for food mean that the world's poor may be forced to do without it, while rich nations grab strong new agreements on their economic weight and negotiating power.
Meanwhile, Beijing's harsh response to the Covid epidemic threatens to boost growth and slow exports from number one. World 2, with serious reactions according to WTO.
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